The stock market seems to be returning to the old normal of higher levels of volatility. I suggested on Tuesday that former Fed Chairman Alan Greenspan’s comments could have brought back volatility by triggering […]
Unemployment √. Inflation √. So… what is the Fed worrying about?
Although the Federal Open Market Committee (hereafter FOMC) March’s meeting on monetary policy focused on what apparently was a disagreement over the timing for modifying the Federal Bonds interest rates, the minutes […]
A set of possible negative US economic shocks.
The puzzling aspect of recent data on inflation has been the deflation trajectory forged by oil prices. The index on energy by itself has fallen 28.7 percent over the year. Just in […]
“Core” inflation might be reflecting pressures solely generated by retailers.
Data on both unemployment and prices have monetary policy analysts wondering whether or not the US supply side of the economy is heading towards overheating. Thus far, indicators on industrial production and […]
“Core” inflation rate will have huge influence on monetary policy next month.
Second Estimates for real GDP growth in the United States indicate that the economy grew at 3.7 percent during the second quarter of 2015 after correcting by price change. The report from […]
It’s time to look at price changes without accounting for oil price effect.
After a year of declining crude oil prices which forged price spillovers all over the US economy, it is time for economists to look at price changes without accounting for the petrol […]
What could you infer from 06/17/15 Federal Open Market Committee decision?
What can we infer from today’s Federal Open Market Committee decision? Today’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) decision corresponds to Fed’s previous statements about the current state of U.S. economy. First, data […]
Is the Current U.S. Dollar Strong All Over the World?
The “Strong Dollar” factor: “Strong Dollar” is said to be one of the main causes explaining the poor economic performance of the United States during the first quarter of 2015. United States’ […]
Fed may get monetary policy mussel back in 2015.
2014 showed no excitement in monetary trends, generally speaking. Besides the Federal Reserve’s Quantitative Easing program (QE), the pockets where the American money is remained mostly stable. The interesting changes were in […]