Timorous evidence of “Contagious Effect” after Dow Sell-Off.

The stock market seems to be returning to the old normal of higher levels of volatility. I suggested on Tuesday that former Fed Chairman Alan Greenspan’s comments could have brought back volatility by triggering the Dow Sell-off on Monday, February 5th. As I wrote early in the week, I believe that we should observe some panic manifestation … Continue reading Timorous evidence of “Contagious Effect” after Dow Sell-Off.

The Missing Part of the Dow Jones and Stock Market Sell-off Analysis.

The stock market keeps on sending signals of correction as the Dow Jones struggle to rebound from Monday’s 5th of February sell-off. Economic analysts began early in the week to point out to fear of high inflation due to an upward trend in workers compensation. News reports were mostly based on strong beliefs and arguments … Continue reading The Missing Part of the Dow Jones and Stock Market Sell-off Analysis.

Raising economic expectations with the “after-tax” reckon: President Trump’s corporate tax cut plan.

The series of documents published by the White House Council of Economic Advisers indicate that President Donald Trump’s Tax Reform will end up being his economic growth policy. The most persuasive pitch behind the corporate tax cut is that lowering taxes to corporations will foster economic investment thereby economic growth. Further, the political rhetoric refers … Continue reading Raising economic expectations with the “after-tax” reckon: President Trump’s corporate tax cut plan.

Implications of “Regression Fishing” over Cogent Modeling.

One of the most recurrent questions in quantitative research refers to on how to assess and rank the relevance of variables included in multiple regression models. This type of uncertainty arises most of the time when researches prioritize data mining over well-thought theories. Recently, a contact of mine in social media formulated the following question: … Continue reading Implications of “Regression Fishing” over Cogent Modeling.

Unemployment √. Inflation √. So… what is the Fed worrying about?

Although the Federal Open Market Committee (hereafter FOMC) March’s meeting on monetary policy focused on what apparently was a disagreement over the timing for modifying the Federal Bonds interest rates, the minutes indicate that the disagreement is not only on timing issues but also on exchange rate challenges. Not only does the Fed struggle with … Continue reading Unemployment √. Inflation √. So… what is the Fed worrying about?

How and when to make “policy recommendations”.

The ultimate goal of a policy analyst is to make “policy recommendations”. But, when is it precise to make such bold type of statements without looking inexperienced? The following article looks at the requirements for reliable and sound policy recommendations. The focus here is not on how to write them, but on how to technically … Continue reading How and when to make “policy recommendations”.

31 Data Sources, Surveys and Metrics for Doing Research on U.S. Labor Market.

If your research project encompasses facts on U.S. Labor Market, here are some useful data sources and metrics that might illuminate insights for your research. Although there might be some discrepancies between what you narrowed as your research question and the data sources showed below, chances are you will find a set of metrics that … Continue reading 31 Data Sources, Surveys and Metrics for Doing Research on U.S. Labor Market.

20 Data Sources and Surveys for Research on U.S. Economic Prospective.

If your research project involves aspects on the general prospective of U.S. Economy, here are some useful data sources, surveys and metrics that might illuminate insights for your research. Although there might be some discrepancies between what you narrowed as your research question, and the data sources showed below, chances are you will find a … Continue reading 20 Data Sources and Surveys for Research on U.S. Economic Prospective.