The stock market seems to be returning to the old normal of higher levels of volatility. I suggested on Tuesday that former Fed Chairman Alan Greenspan’s comments could have brought back volatility by triggering […]
The Missing Part of the Dow Jones and Stock Market Sell-off Analysis.
The stock market keeps on sending signals of correction as the Dow Jones struggle to rebound from Monday’s 5th of February sell-off. Economic analysts began early in the week to point out […]
Recent Narratives of Stock and Bond Bubbles.
On February 5th, 2018, Dow Jones index fell 1,175 points after the trading day. Four economic scenarios are being analyzed in the news as of the first week of February 2018. First, […]
The overuse of the word “Strong” in economic news.
The US economy added 228,000 new jobs in November of 2017 and analysts rush to assess the state of the economy as “STRONG.” Although the job reports are indeed good indicators of […]
Tempering retail sales expectations on holiday season 2017.
The US Holiday Season started with high anxiety for the Retail Industry as online retailers registered high volume of sales on Black Friday 2017. Pre-holiday season reports signaled not much change in […]
Raising economic expectations with the “after-tax” reckon: President Trump’s corporate tax cut plan.
The series of documents published by the White House Council of Economic Advisers indicate that President Donald Trump’s Tax Reform will end up being his economic growth policy. The most persuasive pitch […]
I recognized Heteroscedasticity by running this flawed regression.
In a previous post, I covered how heteroscedasticity “happened” to me. The anecdote I mentioned mostly pertains to time series data. Given the purpose of the research that I was developing back […]
Unemployment √. Inflation √. So… what is the Fed worrying about?
Although the Federal Open Market Committee (hereafter FOMC) March’s meeting on monetary policy focused on what apparently was a disagreement over the timing for modifying the Federal Bonds interest rates, the minutes […]
Why Is the Homeownership Rate Still Falling? An alternative explanation.
When it comes to loan rates, the one that concerns the most regular consumers is the mortgage loan interest rate. This past February 2016 a 30-year mortgage interest rate averaged 3.66 percent […]
Eight Data Sources for Research on U.S. Housing Market.
The National Association of Realtors communicated today that its index of Pending Homes Sales increased 3.5 percent in February 2016. This indicator offers valuable insight for housing market analysis here in the […]