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Timorous evidence of “Contagious Effect” after Dow Sell-Off.

By Giancarlo Salazar on February 9, 2018 • ( Leave a comment )

The Missing Part of the Dow Jones and Stock Market Sell-off Analysis.

By Giancarlo Salazar on February 9, 2018 • ( Leave a comment )

Recent Narratives of Stock and Bond Bubbles.

By Giancarlo Salazar on February 6, 2018 • ( 1 Comment )

The overuse of the word “Strong” in economic news.

By Giancarlo Salazar on December 18, 2017 • ( Leave a comment )

Tempering retail sales expectations on holiday season 2017.

By Giancarlo Salazar on December 6, 2017 • ( Leave a comment )

Raising economic expectations with the “after-tax” reckon: President Trump’s corporate tax cut plan.

By Giancarlo Salazar on November 29, 2017 • ( Leave a comment )

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US-China trade: There are two sides to every story.

By Giancarlo Salazar on March 10, 2016 • ( 1 Comment )

The currency seems to have a negative effect… There are two sides to every story, even for US-China foreign trade. Ever since China emerged to the world economy as a major manufacturing […]

United States meets protectionism: anti-trade sentiment will not last further than the primaries.

By Giancarlo Salazar on March 10, 2016 • ( Leave a comment )

Journalists seem alarmed by the fact that the Republican and Democratic primaries have the potential to shift a historical stance on U.S. trade policy. That is, most of the American governments during […]

Despite good U.S. economic conditions, analysts are alarmed. Why?

By Giancarlo Salazar on March 8, 2016 • ( Leave a comment )

Economists are looking forward in time for signals that point out to the next US economic turn, either down or up. Most of the ongoing concerns about the US Economy respect to […]

Internal demand strengthens as external conditions weaken.

By Giancarlo Salazar on March 6, 2016 • ( Leave a comment )

Main national economic indicators reveal a solidifying moment of the American economy. In spite of job losses in mining and oil-related sectors, total nonfarm payroll employment increased by 242,000 in February; and […]

Low price of oil: some winners and losers.

By Giancarlo Salazar on March 3, 2016 • ( 1 Comment )

Low prices of gas and oil are creating a reallocation of wealth not seen very often in capitalism. The recent version of the Beige Book from the Federal Reserve Bank gives some […]

Is the Google search term “Dollar Rate” an useful predictor for economic crisis?

By Giancarlo Salazar on March 2, 2016 • ( 2 Comments )

Economic conditions in the United States are so unchanging that economists started to explore global conditions as potential threats to its economy. Without ruling out financial institutions altogether, economists are confident current […]

Gross Domestic Product in 2015: same tempo as in 2014.

By Giancarlo Salazar on February 28, 2016 • ( Leave a comment )

Real GDP in the United States increased by 2.4 percent in 2015 when compared to 2014. This growth rate represents the same tempo as in 2014. Growth was pulled up mainly by […]

In 2015 Consumer Price Index was pulled up by cost of shelter and health care.

By Giancarlo Salazar on February 24, 2016 • ( 1 Comment )

Consumer Price Index was pulled up by cost of shelter and health care this past January of 2016. Although low prices in energy offsetted most of the increases, inflation reached 1.4 percent […]

Real Earnings: Bureau of Labor Statistics, January 2016.

By Giancarlo Salazar on February 23, 2016 • ( Leave a comment )

Press Release by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. All employees Real average hourly earnings for all employees increased 0.4 percent from December to January, seasonally adjusted, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics […]

A set of possible negative US economic shocks.

By Giancarlo Salazar on February 22, 2016 • ( 1 Comment )

The puzzling aspect of recent data on inflation has been the deflation trajectory forged by oil prices. The index on energy by itself has fallen 28.7 percent over the year. Just in […]

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Statistics and Time Series. »

Who should restauranteurs trust with a manager code or swipe ID card?

Tempering retail sales expectations on holiday season 2017.

Protected: Temperature measurement in “San Andres” Island: From t-test to Mann-Whitney U Test .

Politics »

Data show Car Industry does just well without Donald Trump’s Advice.

Does a worker choose not to work when collecting Social Security?

Do Workers on Unemployment Insurance make Other Workers’ Income Worst?

Economic History »

Towards rethinking the saving rate in Solow-Swan Model.

Housing building fatigue: an alternative interpretation of the origin of the Great Recession.

Protected: If Smith and Ricardo were right, what patterns of economic specialization should we observe under free trade?

Policy »

Raising economic expectations with the “after-tax” reckon: President Trump’s corporate tax cut plan.

How and when to make “policy recommendations”.

Los Angeles’ Homelessness Crisis and the abuse of the term ‘chronic homelessness’.

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