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NBER News
- Re-examining the Effects of Trading with China on Local Labor Markets: A Supply Chain Perspective -- by Zhi Wang, Shang-Jin Wei, Xinding Yu, Kunfu ZhuThe United States imports intermediate inputs from China, helping downstream US firms to expand employment. Using a cross-regional reduced-form specification but differing from the existing literature, this paper (a) incorporates a supply chain perspective, (b) uses intermediate input imports rather than total imports in computing the downstream exposure, and (c) uses exporter-specific information to allocate […]
- Changes in Household Diet: Determinants and Predictability -- by Stefan Hut, Emily OsterWe use grocery purchase data to analyze dietary changes. We show that households - including those with more income or education - do not improve diet in response to disease diagnosis or changes in household circumstances. We then identify households who show large improvements in diet quality. We use machine learning to predict these households […]
- Climate Shocks, Cyclones, and Economic Growth: Bridging the Micro-Macro Gap -- by Laura Bakkensen, Lint BarrageEmpirical analyses of the impacts of climatic shocks on growth, while critical for policy, have found seemingly disparate results and are seldom incorporated into macroeconomic climate-economy models. This paper seeks to bridge this micro-macro gap through the case of tropical cyclones. We first present a stochastic endogenous growth model that can reconcile previous empirical findings. […]
- The Impacts of Export Taxes on Agricultural Trade -- by Jayson Beckman, Carmen Estrades, Manuel Flores, Angel AguiarExport taxes, despite being applied by several countries, have not received the same scrutiny in multilateral trade negotiations as other trade barriers. This work seeks to provide more detail into the linkages between export taxes, trade, food prices, and poverty in the agriculture sector. We first focus on how export taxes have impacted trade and […]