When it comes to loan rates, the one that concerns the most regular consumers is the mortgage loan interest rate. This past February 2016 a 30-year mortgage interest rate averaged 3.66 percent accordingly to Freddie Mac, whereas the homeownership stubbornly kept its 63 percent level. So, with the mortgage interest rates averaging 3.53 percent (15-year … Continue reading Why Is the Homeownership Rate Still Falling? An alternative explanation.
The currency seems to have a negative effect... There are two sides to every story, even for US-China foreign trade. Ever since China emerged to the world economy as a major manufacturing powerhouse, United States started to lose jobs in the manufacturing sector. Once upon the time firms of manufactured goods such as shoes, clothes … Continue reading US-China trade: There are two sides to every story.
Journalists seem alarmed by the fact that the Republican and Democratic primaries have the potential to shift a historical stance on U.S. trade policy. That is, most of the American governments during the 20th century can be characterized as free traders, and that there is a particular association between free trade policies with the Republican … Continue reading United States meets protectionism: anti-trade sentiment will not last further than the primaries.
Economists are looking forward in time for signals that point out to the next US economic turn, either down or up. Most of the ongoing concerns about the US Economy respect to the perils of unexpected macroeconomic shocks. And, what complicates the outlook is the word “unexpected”. Analysts can either forecast a manufactured crisis or … Continue reading Despite good U.S. economic conditions, analysts are alarmed. Why?
Main national economic indicators reveal a solidifying moment of the American economy. In spite of job losses in mining and oil-related sectors, total nonfarm payroll employment increased by 242,000 in February; and although the unemployment rate kept unmovingly, the economy shows signs of very good standing relative to past winter season data. The biggest risk, … Continue reading Internal demand strengthens as external conditions weaken.
Low prices of gas and oil are creating a reallocation of wealth not seen very often in capitalism. The recent version of the Beige Book from the Federal Reserve Bank gives some clues about the way this phenomenon is evolving. This short article looks at the winners and losers of the current oil story. Labor … Continue reading Low price of oil: some winners and losers.
Economic conditions in the United States are so unchanging that economists started to explore global conditions as potential threats to its economy. Without ruling out financial institutions altogether, economists are confident current regulation will keep turbulence away. Also, the household sector appears solid for many analysts while fiscal issues seem not to alarm anybody. Nevertheless, … Continue reading Is the Google search term “Dollar Rate” an useful predictor for economic crisis?
Real GDP in the United States increased by 2.4 percent in 2015 when compared to 2014. This growth rate represents the same tempo as in 2014. Growth was pulled up mainly by Personal Consumption Expenditures, Nonresidential fixed Investments, Private Inventory Investment, State and local Governments, and Exports. Although these figures of economic growth may look … Continue reading Gross Domestic Product in 2015: same tempo as in 2014.
Consumer Price Index was pulled up by cost of shelter and health care this past January of 2016. Although low prices in energy offsetted most of the increases, inflation reached 1.4 percent over the last year. Core inflation, which is all items less food and energy, continues to be on expected levels of 2.2 annualized … Continue reading In 2015 Consumer Price Index was pulled up by cost of shelter and health care.
The puzzling aspect of recent data on inflation has been the deflation trajectory forged by oil prices. The index on energy by itself has fallen 28.7 percent over the year. Just in January 2016, the energy index declined 2.8 percent as gasoline index did so by 4.8 percent during the same month. The energy index … Continue reading A set of possible negative US economic shocks.